Money, Money, Money

For the love of money is a root of all kinds of evil. Some people, eager for money, have wandered from the faith and pierced themselves with many griefs. 1 Timothy 6:10 (NIV)

With that in mind here are the updated season-to-date payouts for The Big Time.  All monies listed herein have been earned and cannot be lost (except in the case of monies related to weekly wagers past, present, and future).  If you would like to see the detailed spreadsheet click here.

Playoff Seeding Changes - Please Vote!

Fantasy Football Team Owners,

After reviewing the playoff format, it has come to my attention that the division winners each receive one of the top seeds.   This is contrary to generally accepted playoff seeding of fantasy football leagues using formats other than NFL.com.

 I am making the motion that the seeding for playoffs be based solely on each team’s ranking in the league.

The new playoff seeding (which will follow NFL.com league rank) will be based on record, using total points scored in case of a tie.  This change only has the ability to affect the seeding of the playoffs and will not change the teams which are eligible to participate.  If implemented today, the current 3 seed (Rackin it Up) and 4 seed (Torainosaurus Rex) would flip as they have the same record (6-3) but Torainosaurus Rex has scored more points.   The only change this effectively makes to the playoffs, is eliminating the possibility of a team with less wins getting a seed higher  than a team with more wins (and therefore an “easier” playoff opponent).  Obviously there are 4 more weeks left until playoffs, so we don’t know who it would affect, if it affects anyone at all.

Please respond with your vote FOR or AGAINST the change to the playoff format.  You have until Nov. 20^th at midnight to respond. 

The majority response (with no minimum number of votes necessary) will be the playoff format used for “The Big Time” Fantasy Football League.  If you have an opinion on this matter you must vote.  A nonreponse will be considered concurrence with the majority of voting team managers.

Thanks,

Dan Stichter 

-The Big Time League Commissioner

Stat's Don't Lie... Week 9

So I was curious this week, “What’s more important: having players who score offensive touchdowns or having players who gain yards?”  And so I set out to find my answer…

Team	Total Points	TD's	Pts. / TD	Pts. / Week	TD's / Game
Lehman Brothers	665.48	28	23.77	83.19	3.5
Makin' It Wayne	755.96	34	22.23	94.50	4.25
Maverick	637.8	30	21.26	79.73	3.75
Scobee Dooby Doo	775.04	37	20.95	96.88	4.625
MissNColtsNCOS	667.12	32	20.85	83.39	4
Ghetto Gangsta	783.38	38	20.62	97.92	4.75
Rackin it Up	757.34	37	20.47	94.67	4.625
WhenNRome	585.44	30	19.51	73.18	3.75
The First Wives Club	697.9	36	19.39	87.24	4.5
Defenestrators	432.8	25	17.31	54.10	3.125
DogPound	618.4	39	15.86	77.30	4.875
Floaters	796.26	52	15.31	99.53	6.5
League Averages	8172.92	34.83	19.79	85.13	4.35

The table has been sorted on Points per touchdown.

All this table tells us is 1) Floaters has 13 more touchdowns than any other team and 2) there’s not a specific strategy that guarantees success as the top ranked teams in the league are spread all over the place.

A couple other interesting stats: only 4 teams have lost their matchup when scoring 6 touchdowns or more (Scobee Dooby Doo & Floaters – 6 TDs, The First Wives Club & Defenestrators – 7 TDs) and only 2 teams have won scoring only 2 touchdowns (Scobee Dooby Doo & Ghetto Gangsta).

Being the curious guy I am (and having 96 games worth of data) I was curious what your chance of winning was if you simply score a certain amount of touchdowns.  So, if we assume whomever scores more touchdowns in a matchup on any given week will win, your chance of winning is outlined in the table below:

	TD's	% Win
At Least	10	99%
	9	98%
	8	95%
	7	89%
	6	78%
	5	64%
	4	42%
	3	29%
	2	17%
	1	4%
	0	1%

So, if your offensive players score 7 touchdowns, you’ve got an almost 90% chance of winning your matchup.

Finally, if your opponent scores their weekly average points this week, you need the following amount of touchdowns from your team to beat them:

Team	TDs to Win Week 9
Floaters	3.53
Ghetto Gangsta	4.23
Scobee Dooby Doo	3.98
Rackin it Up	4.62
Makin' It Wayne	4.63
The First Wives Club	5.05
MissNColtsNCOS	4.96
Lehman Brothers	3.08
Maverick	3.64
DogPound	5.03
WhenNRome	4.26
Defenestrators	5.75

Basically, round up to the nearest touchdown, and if your opponent has an average week, you will win.  Of course, if your opponent has a better than average week, you’re going need a few more TDs, because Stats Don’t Lie…